0:00
/
0:00
Transcript

Canada and the Power Play in the Arctic

A New Great Game for Access to the Northwest Passage

Most Canadians think of the Arctic as remote, frozen, and largely unthreatened. That assumption no longer holds. The region is being reshaped by forces that are moving faster than Canadian policy has been willing to acknowledge, and the consequences of continued inattention are serious.

In this episode, I spoke with Marcus Wong, a public relations professional, former public official, and policy analyst whose Harvard graduate research focuses on Canadian Arctic sovereignty and security. Marcus is also the author of a six-part series for the NATO Association of Canada titled Power Play in the Arctic, and our conversation draws directly from that work.

We open with the environmental and strategic context. The retreat of Arctic sea ice is already well underway. Marcus walks through the scale of what has changed, why the opening of the Northwest Passage represents both an economic opportunity and a security challenge, and what the vast untapped resource wealth of the region means for the states now competing for it.

From there, we turn to the actors. Russia has spent the better part of two decades systematically restoring Soviet-era military infrastructure across its Arctic frontier, expanding its Northern Fleet, and developing military capabilities designed to complicate any response. China, despite having no territorial claim in the region, has declared itself a “near-Arctic state” and is building what it calls the Polar Silk Road by positioning itself for commercial and strategic influence along emerging shipping routes. The United States, meanwhile, has historically disputed Canada’s jurisdiction over the Northwest Passage, treating it as an international strait rather than Canadian internal waters. That bilateral tension is unresolved and consequential.

We then examine where Canada currently stands. The picture is sobering. Canada faces genuine gaps in military capacity in the North, limited Arctic infrastructure, and a legal position under international maritime law that is more vulnerable than most Canadians realize. Marcus walks through the ambiguities created by the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and what is at stake if Canada loses the argument over the Northwest Passage on the international stage. We also discuss the role of Arctic Indigenous communities in Canada’s sovereignty claims: a relationship that is underutilized and, in important ways, an asset Canada has not fully engaged.

The second half of the conversation turns to what a serious Canadian response would look like. Marcus draws on the later installments of his series to outline a new partnership model for sovereignty in the High North, the case for an Arctic Charter incorporating perspectives from all stakeholders, and the practical steps a credible Arctic strategy would require. The discussion is concrete and policy-focused: less about what Canada should aspire to and more about what it would actually take to get there.

We close with a forward-looking conversation drawing on the analysis of Dr. George Soroka, the expert featured in the final piece of Marcus’s series. What are the most plausible scenarios for the Arctic over the next decade? Is there a version of this story in which Canada becomes a genuine leader in the region rather than a reactive follower?

What You’ll Take Away

By the end of the episode, you’ll have a clearer understanding of:

  • Why the Arctic has become a contested strategic arena, and how quickly the situation is evolving

  • What Russia, China, and the United States each want from the region — and where those interests conflict with Canada’s

  • The legal vulnerabilities in Canada’s position over the Northwest Passage under international maritime law

  • Why partnership with indigenous communities is central to a durable Arctic sovereignty strategy, not peripheral to it

  • What a credible Canadian Arctic policy would actually require, and what the next decade may look like

If you follow Canadian foreign policy, international security, or the geopolitics of the High North, this conversation is worth your time.


About the Guest

Marcus Wong is a public relations professional, former public official, and policy analyst completing a Master of Liberal Arts at Harvard, where his graduate research focuses on Canadian Arctic sovereignty and security. He served as an elected member of West Vancouver City Council, has been appointed to the West Vancouver Police Board and the Board of Trustees at Queen’s University, and worked for the Canadian Olympic Committee and the Embassy of Canada in Washington. He is a board member of the NATO Association of Canada and the author of the Power Play in the Arctic series discussed in this episode.


For Further Reading

Power Play in the Arctic — NATO Association of Canada


I created Current History to explore how history shapes present choices in geopolitics, technology, and public policy. If you found this conversation useful, consider subscribing below.

Current History is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

Subscribers receive every podcast and essay directly in their inbox. Its free for now, with paid options if you would like to support this work directly. The Founding Member plan guarantees lifetime access without a paywall.

You can also subscribe on YouTube at https://www.youtube.com/@current-history.

Discussion about this video

User's avatar

Ready for more?